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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.65+7.81vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.62+7.21vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.95+5.34vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.71+4.48vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59+4.67vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.27+4.19vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.10vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93-0.60vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.45+0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61-1.55vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.22-5.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-3.51vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.79-5.87vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University-1.38-5.46vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.50-2.58vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.10-5.61vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.77-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81Boston University1.656.1%1st Place
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9.21Fordham University1.625.8%1st Place
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8.34Florida State University1.956.8%1st Place
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8.48Webb Institute1.716.2%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University1.594.3%1st Place
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10.19George Washington University1.274.4%1st Place
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8.1SUNY Maritime College1.887.3%1st Place
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8.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.9%1st Place
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8.4University of Miami1.936.9%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College1.455.2%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island1.615.1%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University2.2210.3%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.446.2%1st Place
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8.13Cornell University1.797.3%1st Place
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9.54Jacksonville University-1.384.9%1st Place
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13.42University of Michigan0.502.2%1st Place
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11.39University of Wisconsin1.102.5%1st Place
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13.75North Carolina State University0.771.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Miles Williams | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Brody Schwartz | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 26.2% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.