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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+4.97vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+8.39vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+5.49vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+6.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+2.63vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.51vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.00+3.51vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.31vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23+0.80vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.80-2.78vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.39-1.87vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.29-2.61vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.37-3.85vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.65vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-4.24vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-5.11vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.42Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.51Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.22Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.13Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.39Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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12.71Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Philip Crain | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| William Macdonald | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Hans Henken | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Emily Billing | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| William Hutchings | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% |
| James Simmons | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.