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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+7.23vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.43+7.06vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.65+5.98vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.27+6.20vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+1.44vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.24vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+2.43vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.95+0.47vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.74vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.62-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61-1.43vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.45-1.87vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-3.54vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.93-5.72vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University0.77-1.47vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.59-6.66vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.10-5.79vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.50-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Cornell University1.796.6%1st Place
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9.06Webb Institute1.435.2%1st Place
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8.98Boston University1.655.6%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University1.274.0%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University2.2211.2%1st Place
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8.24SUNY Maritime College1.887.2%1st Place
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9.43Jacksonville University-1.385.8%1st Place
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8.47Florida State University1.956.4%1st Place
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8.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.0%1st Place
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8.91Fordham University1.625.7%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island1.614.6%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College1.454.7%1st Place
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9.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.445.9%1st Place
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8.28University of Miami1.936.4%1st Place
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13.53North Carolina State University0.771.6%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University1.595.2%1st Place
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11.21University of Wisconsin1.104.5%1st Place
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13.27University of Michigan0.502.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Micky Munns | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Miles Williams | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 29.1% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% |
| Brody Schwartz | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.