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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.00vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+8.31vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+6.36vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan3.02+6.48vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.60vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.49vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.51+1.48vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37+0.85vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.80-1.46vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.39-1.19vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.69-3.07vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-2.38vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.00-2.27vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-1.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.74vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-5.14vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.31Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.36Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.54Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.73Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.79Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
| Emily Billing | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| William Macdonald | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Philip Crain | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| William Hutchings | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Hans Henken | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 27.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% |
| James Simmons | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.