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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+7.37vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+4.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+3.89vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.47+2.50vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+2.08vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57+0.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+3.13vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13+0.18vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.21-1.52vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.70-4.07vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-5.87vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.98-3.29vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.19vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.02+0.23vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-2.45vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.22Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.18Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.71Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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15.23Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| David Alfonso | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Needham | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.8% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 10.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| John Koehler | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 15.0% | 57.9% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 26.4% | 21.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.