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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+8.35vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+6.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.62+5.79vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.27+6.05vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+3.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.22+0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.61+2.48vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59+1.52vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-0.93vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.88-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.64-1.91vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.30-1.64vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.43+0.77vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.40-4.16vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.65-6.14vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.43-7.23vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-7.63vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.01-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.35Jacksonville University-1.385.5%1st Place
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8.52Florida State University1.956.6%1st Place
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8.79Fordham University1.626.3%1st Place
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10.05George Washington University1.273.9%1st Place
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8.24Cornell University1.796.8%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University2.2210.3%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island1.616.0%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University1.594.1%1st Place
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8.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.777.0%1st Place
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8.1SUNY Maritime College1.887.4%1st Place
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9.09University of Miami1.646.5%1st Place
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10.36University of Wisconsin1.304.5%1st Place
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13.77Connecticut College0.431.8%1st Place
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9.84North Carolina State University1.405.7%1st Place
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8.86Boston University1.655.7%1st Place
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8.77Webb Institute1.435.8%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.445.1%1st Place
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14.54University of Michigan-0.011.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Ciszewski | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Barnes | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Quinn Kaiser | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Jean-Michel Bus | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 25.4% |
| Robert Chase | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Micky Munns | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Stephens | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.