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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.21+7.40vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+5.57vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+3.77vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+3.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+3.39vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.57+1.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+4.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.55-0.77vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+0.77vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-1.25vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-4.72vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.12vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-5.04vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.22vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.02+0.23vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-2.47vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.77Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.91Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.39Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.77Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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6.28Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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15.23Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Needham | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 6.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| John Koehler | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 58.8% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 25.1% | 21.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.