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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+7.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.55+4.35vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+2.78vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+2.67vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+2.86vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+1.93vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.57-0.85vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-0.51vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-2.91vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-5.85vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.49vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.47-6.24vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.02+0.24vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.21-7.36vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.85-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.78Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.93Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.15Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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15.24Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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13.5University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| David Alfonso | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 7.5% |
| Connor Needham | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| John Koehler | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 16.7% | 57.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 26.5% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.