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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+8.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.65+7.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+6.54vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+2.46vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+3.32vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.95+2.52vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.61+1.57vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.62+0.17vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.80vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.40-0.75vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.45-1.59vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.27-2.63vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.43-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-6.38vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.30-5.54vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.59-7.87vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.01-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Jacksonville University-1.384.9%1st Place
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9.24Boston University1.655.5%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.445.7%1st Place
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6.46Tufts University2.2211.2%1st Place
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8.32Cornell University1.796.2%1st Place
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8.52Florida State University1.956.3%1st Place
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8.42SUNY Maritime College1.886.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island1.615.5%1st Place
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9.17Fordham University1.626.2%1st Place
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8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.776.9%1st Place
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10.25North Carolina State University1.404.2%1st Place
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10.41Connecticut College1.455.1%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University1.273.5%1st Place
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9.5Webb Institute1.433.8%1st Place
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8.62University of Miami1.936.7%1st Place
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10.46University of Wisconsin1.304.1%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University1.596.7%1st Place
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15.16University of Michigan-0.011.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Micky Munns | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Spencer Barnes | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Miles Williams | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Robert Chase | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Quinn Kaiser | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 5.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Stephens | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.