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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sebastian Green 55.4% 28.3% 10.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Tuttle 3.4% 5.6% 6.9% 8.5% 10.1% 11.7% 12.3% 14.0% 16.4% 11.2%
Sadie Creemer 5.6% 8.8% 10.3% 14.5% 15.0% 12.2% 12.3% 10.2% 8.2% 2.8%
Hans Scheyer 5.7% 9.0% 13.0% 13.9% 13.1% 13.7% 11.5% 9.8% 7.3% 3.1%
Spencer Patten 2.5% 4.8% 5.9% 7.5% 8.8% 11.3% 11.8% 15.2% 17.3% 15.0%
Sofia Brown Patrico 12.9% 19.4% 19.7% 16.4% 12.6% 8.7% 6.2% 3.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Austin Victer 5.7% 9.9% 12.6% 13.7% 13.4% 12.0% 11.8% 10.9% 7.3% 2.8%
Aaron Heard 5.7% 8.0% 12.2% 10.8% 12.6% 13.4% 13.5% 11.4% 8.5% 4.0%
Chris Connor 2.3% 4.3% 5.9% 7.4% 9.2% 10.1% 12.7% 15.2% 18.4% 14.7%
Kate Furman 1.0% 1.9% 3.0% 3.5% 4.1% 6.5% 7.8% 10.2% 16.0% 46.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.