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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School1.10+0.69vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-1.68+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.82+2.30vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.23+1.21vs Predicted
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5Gonzaga University-1.96+1.81vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.37-2.30vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.18-1.80vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-1.31-2.53vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-1.95-2.13vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-2.67-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Unknown School1.1055.4%1st Place
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6.47University of Oregon-1.683.4%1st Place
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5.3University of Oregon-0.825.6%1st Place
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5.21Western Washington University-1.235.7%1st Place
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6.81Gonzaga University-1.962.5%1st Place
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3.7Western Washington University-0.3712.9%1st Place
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5.2Oregon State University-1.185.7%1st Place
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5.47Oregon State University-1.315.7%1st Place
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6.87Gonzaga University-1.952.3%1st Place
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8.28Gonzaga University-2.671.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sebastian Green | 55.4% | 28.3% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ryan Tuttle | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 11.2% |
Sadie Creemer | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
Hans Scheyer | 5.7% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
Spencer Patten | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 15.0% |
Sofia Brown Patrico | 12.9% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Austin Victer | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
Aaron Heard | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
Chris Connor | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 14.7% |
Kate Furman | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.