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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+8.50vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+5.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+5.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54+8.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.25+5.27vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+1.07vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90+1.13vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.41+2.39vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-0.78vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29-0.08vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.73vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.10vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.46-4.81vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.56-4.93vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.49-7.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.50vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.08-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Roger Williams University2.454.3%1st Place
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7.35Yale University2.738.6%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University2.616.2%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.4%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy2.254.8%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University3.059.1%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College2.907.8%1st Place
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10.39Georgetown University2.414.3%1st Place
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8.22Brown University2.856.8%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.7%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College2.294.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.7%1st Place
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9.9University of Pennsylvania2.425.1%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University2.465.8%1st Place
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10.07Boston College2.564.3%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston2.495.8%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.1%1st Place
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11.62Bowdoin College2.083.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Jack Egan | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 22.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Scott Mais | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.