← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+9.27vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.41+8.10vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.73+4.25vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.25+6.18vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.61+3.15vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.53vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.90+1.11vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+0.81vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.05-1.74vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.85-1.91vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.29+0.09vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.56-1.96vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.42-2.84vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.13vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston2.49-5.97vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University2.46-6.77vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.45-7.63vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College2.08-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
-
10.1Georgetown University2.414.2%1st Place
-
7.25Yale University2.739.3%1st Place
-
10.18U. S. Naval Academy2.254.0%1st Place
-
8.15Stanford University2.617.1%1st Place
-
9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.2%1st Place
-
8.11Dartmouth College2.907.0%1st Place
-
8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.4%1st Place
-
7.26Harvard University3.059.2%1st Place
-
8.09Brown University2.855.7%1st Place
-
11.09Connecticut College2.293.6%1st Place
-
10.04Boston College2.564.7%1st Place
-
10.16University of Pennsylvania2.424.9%1st Place
-
12.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.1%1st Place
-
9.03College of Charleston2.496.5%1st Place
-
9.23Tulane University2.465.5%1st Place
-
9.37Roger Williams University2.456.0%1st Place
-
11.45Bowdoin College2.083.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
| Scott Mais | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 22.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.