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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+7.73vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+8.08vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+6.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+4.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.32vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05-0.01vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.29+2.91vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.46+0.22vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.45-0.59vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.73-3.82vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.85-3.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.25-2.68vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.28vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-3.38vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.61-7.77vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.42-7.14vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.02-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.3%1st Place
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10.08Georgetown University2.414.4%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston2.496.0%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College2.907.7%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.9%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.058.6%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College2.293.4%1st Place
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9.22Tulane University2.466.0%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University2.455.9%1st Place
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7.18Yale University2.739.2%1st Place
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8.19Brown University2.857.7%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Naval Academy2.253.9%1st Place
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12.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.5%1st Place
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11.62Bowdoin College2.033.8%1st Place
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8.23Stanford University2.616.5%1st Place
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9.86University of Pennsylvania2.425.1%1st Place
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10.9Boston College2.024.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Scott Mais | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Jack Egan | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 21.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.