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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.21+7.47vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+5.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+4.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+3.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+3.11vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70-0.24vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.57-0.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+2.54vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-3.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.23-2.28vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-2.49vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.55-5.56vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.85-0.46vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.21-6.36vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.02-0.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.11Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.76Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.1Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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6.07Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.72Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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15.37Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Connor Needham | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Cefali | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 7.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Mullins | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 24.6% | 23.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| John Koehler | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 16.5% | 56.7% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.