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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+7.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+4.99vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.47vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.72vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+1.22vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.35vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45+1.25vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.41+1.04vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.61-1.90vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.46-1.86vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.59vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.49-3.86vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.02-3.17vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-7.03vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-5.02vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-5.50vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Dartmouth College2.908.0%1st Place
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6.99Yale University2.739.8%1st Place
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9.73University of Pennsylvania2.425.5%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.8%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.3%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University3.058.6%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.455.8%1st Place
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10.04Georgetown University2.414.0%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University2.616.9%1st Place
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9.14Tulane University2.465.6%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Naval Academy2.253.5%1st Place
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9.14College of Charleston2.495.3%1st Place
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10.83Boston College2.024.0%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.857.8%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College2.294.0%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College2.033.3%1st Place
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12.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Scott Mais | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.