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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+8.20vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+5.18vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+6.17vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+3.28vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+6.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.33vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46+2.34vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-0.03vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-0.80vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.26vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29+0.06vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.61vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-2.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-1.14vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.41-4.96vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.61-7.86vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-8.13vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.42-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2Roger Williams University2.455.5%1st Place
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7.18Yale University2.738.6%1st Place
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9.17College of Charleston2.496.1%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University3.058.8%1st Place
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11.66Bowdoin College2.032.9%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.2%1st Place
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9.34Tulane University2.465.2%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.856.1%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College2.906.3%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy2.254.7%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College2.293.6%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.7%1st Place
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10.18Boston College2.564.0%1st Place
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12.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.9%1st Place
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10.04Georgetown University2.415.3%1st Place
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8.14Stanford University2.618.5%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.6%1st Place
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9.86University of Pennsylvania2.424.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Jack Egan | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 22.4% |
| Scott Mais | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.