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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+7.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+6.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.57+4.30vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+3.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.55+2.20vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+2.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-1.96vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.70-2.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-1.47vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98-1.32vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-3.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-5.05vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.86vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-5.32vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.02-0.56vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.85-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.3Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.2Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.68Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.93Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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15.44Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Connor Needham | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| David Alfonso | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Brown | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| John Koehler | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 60.9% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 27.4% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.