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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+7.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+5.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.29vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.01vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+6.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+1.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56+3.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45+1.16vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-0.16vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.78vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.25-0.67vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.85-3.98vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.41-2.77vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.61-5.77vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-3.85vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.49-7.24vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.46-7.72vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Dartmouth College2.906.8%1st Place
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7.26Yale University2.738.8%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Pennsylvania2.424.8%1st Place
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11.51Bowdoin College2.033.2%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University3.058.6%1st Place
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10.24Boston College2.564.1%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University2.456.2%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.3%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Naval Academy2.254.9%1st Place
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8.02Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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10.23Georgetown University2.414.2%1st Place
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8.23Stanford University2.616.2%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College2.293.1%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston2.497.5%1st Place
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9.28Tulane University2.465.5%1st Place
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12.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.541.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Scott Mais | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Lucas Sawin | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.