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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+7.17vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+6.74vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40+6.73vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+5.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.41vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+5.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73+0.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.25+1.47vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-0.10vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.45-1.63vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.42-2.00vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.90-4.68vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-6.87vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-3.56vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.61-7.66vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.49-7.89vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.655.9%1st Place
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9.73Georgetown University2.405.1%1st Place
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9.03Tulane University2.467.2%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College2.293.6%1st Place
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7.28Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.2%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Naval Academy2.253.9%1st Place
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9.9Boston College2.564.2%1st Place
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9.37Roger Williams University2.455.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Pennsylvania2.423.9%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College2.905.9%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University3.059.3%1st Place
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11.44Bowdoin College2.033.2%1st Place
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8.34Stanford University2.616.8%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston2.495.7%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.541.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Lucas Sawin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.