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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.47+6.50vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+4.70vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.90vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.17vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.55+2.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+2.77vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.23+1.62vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.35vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13+0.18vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.21-1.47vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.44vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-2.52vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.57-5.63vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.02+1.36vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.41-7.11vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-2.51vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.7Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.62Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.65Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.18Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.48Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.37Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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15.36Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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13.49University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Needham | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 7.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| John Koehler | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 16.0% | 59.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 23.9% | 21.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.