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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+7.19vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+5.29vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.74vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.94vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+3.38vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+5.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.31vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.40+1.54vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.46+0.03vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03+1.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.71vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.73-4.66vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.49-3.88vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.56-3.93vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.25-4.67vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.45-6.58vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-4.00vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.90-9.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Brown University2.856.0%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University3.059.6%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Pennsylvania2.424.4%1st Place
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8.38Stanford University2.616.2%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College2.294.0%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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9.54Georgetown University2.405.8%1st Place
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9.03Tulane University2.465.8%1st Place
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11.62Bowdoin College2.033.4%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
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7.34Yale University2.738.1%1st Place
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9.12College of Charleston2.495.0%1st Place
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10.07Boston College2.565.0%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Naval Academy2.254.3%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University2.455.9%1st Place
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13.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.541.4%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College2.908.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| Jack Egan | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Lucas Sawin | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 24.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.