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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.75vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.55+5.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+5.77vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+2.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+6.33vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+1.06vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-0.81vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.15vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+0.92vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-2.12vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.47-2.99vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.57-4.60vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-4.05vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.23-5.19vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.02+0.27vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-2.39vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.98Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.92Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.81Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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15.27Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 7.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Connor Needham | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Max Nickbarg | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| John Koehler | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 15.6% | 58.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 27.0% | 21.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.