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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-1.23+4.23vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.82+3.31vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.37+0.63vs Predicted
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4Unknown School1.10-2.23vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.18+0.24vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.31-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.68-0.59vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-1.95-1.17vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-1.96-2.05vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-2.67-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Western Washington University-1.236.3%1st Place
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5.31University of Oregon-0.825.3%1st Place
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3.63Western Washington University-0.3712.9%1st Place
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1.77Unknown School1.1054.0%1st Place
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5.24Oregon State University-1.186.4%1st Place
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5.47Oregon State University-1.315.5%1st Place
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6.41University of Oregon-1.683.1%1st Place
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6.83Gonzaga University-1.952.6%1st Place
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6.95Gonzaga University-1.962.4%1st Place
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8.16Gonzaga University-2.671.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Scheyer | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 5.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 12.9% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sebastian Green | 54.0% | 26.1% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Victer | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Aaron Heard | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% |
| Chris Connor | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| Spencer Patten | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 16.6% |
| Kate Furman | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.