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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+6.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.90+6.39vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.43vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+4.98vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+2.28vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.40+3.58vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.78vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.45+1.51vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+2.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.27vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.56-0.95vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-0.45vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-2.50vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.85-5.83vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.61-6.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-3.21vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-8.05vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.46-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Yale University2.739.8%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College2.906.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.8%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston2.495.9%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University3.059.3%1st Place
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9.58Georgetown University2.405.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Pennsylvania2.425.0%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University2.455.9%1st Place
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11.1Connecticut College2.293.4%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Naval Academy2.253.7%1st Place
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10.05Boston College2.564.7%1st Place
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11.55Bowdoin College2.033.3%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.6%1st Place
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8.17Brown University2.856.2%1st Place
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8.26Stanford University2.617.6%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.9%1st Place
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8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.1%1st Place
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9.24Tulane University2.465.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 23.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.