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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+8.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+5.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+5.06vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+4.27vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.02vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+2.93vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.25+2.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45+0.51vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.61-1.69vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.46-1.76vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.49-2.92vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-1.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.75vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-7.75vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-4.70vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.56-6.92vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Georgetown University2.405.2%1st Place
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7.32Yale University2.737.8%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College2.907.3%1st Place
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8.27Brown University2.857.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Pennsylvania2.425.0%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.655.9%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.7%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Naval Academy2.254.5%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University2.455.1%1st Place
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8.31Stanford University2.616.9%1st Place
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9.24Tulane University2.466.5%1st Place
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9.08College of Charleston2.496.1%1st Place
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11.64Bowdoin College2.033.1%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.5%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University3.059.6%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College2.293.4%1st Place
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10.08Boston College2.565.0%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Jack Egan | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.