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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+7.52vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+4.17vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+5.01vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+4.89vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.98+4.50vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+2.00vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+1.80vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.19vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.70-1.86vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-3.14vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.02+4.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.50vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.55-5.37vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.57-6.54vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.41-6.99vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.85-2.42vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.5Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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15.29Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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13.58University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Connor Needham | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| John Koehler | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 14.9% | 59.6% |
| Lauren Cefali | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 7.6% |
| Ryan Mullins | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Nickbarg | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 25.8% | 21.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.