Race 1A

central-series-2-bu

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Eric Anderson 11.3% 10.3% 10.5% 10.1% 12.2% 12.0% 9.9% 9.3% 6.0% 4.4% 2.9% 1.1%
Charles Nunn 14.0% 14.8% 13.9% 12.6% 13.4% 8.2% 8.3% 7.1% 4.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
William Livernois 11.9% 10.3% 12.2% 11.9% 9.4% 9.4% 11.8% 10.4% 7.1% 3.4% 1.5% 0.7%
Timothy Harding 12.2% 12.5% 13.2% 12.2% 10.8% 9.7% 9.6% 6.9% 6.8% 4.2% 1.4% 0.5%
Becker Awqatty 11.4% 11.7% 11.6% 11.9% 10.3% 10.9% 9.0% 8.6% 6.1% 5.2% 2.8% 0.5%
Alejandro Bancalari 7.9% 8.6% 8.9% 8.5% 9.5% 11.2% 10.2% 9.7% 11.8% 6.4% 6.1% 1.2%
Matteo Alampi 5.3% 5.9% 6.2% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 8.1% 9.7% 12.7% 13.3% 10.4% 6.8%
Marcos Darcy 15.9% 13.7% 12.4% 12.8% 10.0% 9.1% 8.8% 8.4% 4.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.8%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 3.4% 3.9% 4.4% 6.2% 7.6% 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 14.5% 13.0% 14.0% 6.5%
Rachel Pedersen 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 4.1% 4.9% 6.8% 10.1% 14.6% 20.3% 25.3%
Connor Roelke 1.9% 1.9% 0.8% 2.5% 2.9% 3.8% 4.1% 6.0% 5.8% 15.8% 18.5% 36.0%
Mary Clawson 2.4% 3.7% 3.0% 1.9% 3.9% 5.1% 6.5% 7.8% 10.5% 14.4% 20.3% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.