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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.29+10.06vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.42+8.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+5.99vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+2.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.45vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46+2.44vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.90+0.09vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-1.73vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.61-1.83vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03+0.59vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.45-2.51vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.25-2.51vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-5.18vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-6.97vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.56-5.81vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.40-7.58vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.06Connecticut College2.293.4%1st Place
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10.09University of Pennsylvania2.424.0%1st Place
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8.99College of Charleston2.495.8%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.2%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University3.059.8%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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9.44Tulane University2.465.2%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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7.27Yale University2.738.7%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University2.617.5%1st Place
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11.59Bowdoin College2.032.5%1st Place
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9.49Roger Williams University2.454.8%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Naval Academy2.254.7%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.0%1st Place
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8.03Brown University2.856.6%1st Place
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10.19Boston College2.564.3%1st Place
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9.42Georgetown University2.405.5%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.542.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Jack Egan | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.