Race 2A

central-series-2-bu

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Nunn 14.6% 13.3% 12.4% 11.7% 13.8% 11.0% 7.4% 6.6% 5.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Eric Anderson 10.6% 12.1% 10.3% 10.1% 11.7% 11.5% 9.7% 8.7% 7.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Timothy Harding 14.3% 11.1% 11.8% 11.2% 10.3% 10.4% 10.6% 10.0% 5.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
Alejandro Bancalari 6.5% 9.0% 8.5% 10.4% 9.5% 10.4% 11.0% 9.8% 10.4% 8.0% 4.4% 2.1%
William Livernois 11.3% 11.6% 13.1% 11.3% 9.1% 10.0% 10.2% 8.4% 7.8% 3.7% 2.8% 0.7%
Marcos Darcy 14.6% 13.1% 11.9% 13.6% 10.8% 11.3% 7.8% 7.1% 5.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Matteo Alampi 4.8% 5.1% 7.1% 5.8% 7.9% 7.7% 8.3% 10.5% 14.0% 12.4% 9.9% 6.5%
Rachel Pedersen 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 3.3% 5.2% 7.1% 8.6% 12.4% 21.6% 26.7%
Becker Awqatty 10.6% 12.8% 14.2% 11.8% 10.9% 9.7% 10.2% 8.4% 5.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 5.7% 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% 6.4% 7.2% 8.0% 10.2% 12.6% 15.7% 12.4% 8.5%
Connor Roelke 2.0% 1.7% 1.2% 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 4.6% 5.6% 6.4% 13.9% 21.7% 34.0%
Mary Clawson 2.2% 3.6% 2.7% 3.4% 2.7% 4.0% 7.0% 7.6% 12.2% 14.7% 19.9% 20.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.