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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+7.07vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+7.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.47vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+6.12vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.01vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+1.23vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85+1.25vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.29+2.97vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.45+0.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.32vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03+0.69vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-3.31vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.46-3.64vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.40-4.39vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.61-6.70vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.54-3.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.60vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.73-10.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Dartmouth College2.908.1%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston2.496.3%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.5%1st Place
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10.12Boston College2.563.9%1st Place
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10.01University of Pennsylvania2.424.3%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University3.059.6%1st Place
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8.25Brown University2.857.1%1st Place
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10.97Connecticut College2.294.9%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University2.454.4%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Naval Academy2.254.5%1st Place
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11.69Bowdoin College2.032.3%1st Place
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8.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.2%1st Place
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9.36Tulane University2.465.8%1st Place
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9.61Georgetown University2.404.5%1st Place
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8.3Stanford University2.617.0%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.541.9%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.0%1st Place
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7.19Yale University2.738.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 22.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.