Race 3A

central-series-2-bu

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Nunn 14.5% 12.9% 12.3% 14.1% 12.0% 10.7% 8.7% 6.5% 4.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.4%
Alejandro Bancalari 6.9% 9.3% 8.7% 9.7% 10.1% 10.1% 10.5% 10.0% 11.4% 7.8% 4.2% 1.3%
William Livernois 11.7% 10.5% 11.8% 11.2% 10.7% 10.3% 10.1% 10.4% 7.1% 3.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Eric Anderson 10.9% 11.1% 13.4% 11.5% 10.0% 10.3% 9.4% 7.3% 7.5% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6%
Marcos Darcy 13.9% 14.5% 12.7% 11.7% 12.5% 10.0% 8.3% 6.4% 4.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Timothy Harding 13.4% 12.3% 11.4% 12.0% 10.9% 12.0% 8.9% 7.7% 5.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Matteo Alampi 5.3% 6.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.6% 8.4% 9.1% 10.2% 12.8% 12.4% 10.6% 6.4%
Becker Awqatty 13.3% 12.2% 11.0% 10.7% 11.6% 8.4% 10.7% 8.7% 6.5% 4.0% 1.9% 1.0%
Rachel Pedersen 1.8% 1.6% 2.8% 2.2% 3.2% 4.4% 6.2% 8.0% 9.2% 15.1% 20.2% 25.3%
Connor Roelke 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 2.2% 4.0% 3.6% 6.7% 8.4% 11.8% 21.1% 32.6%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.1% 3.0% 4.8% 5.6% 6.4% 6.5% 8.5% 10.0% 12.6% 15.3% 12.4% 10.8%
Mary Clawson 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 2.2% 3.8% 4.9% 6.0% 8.1% 9.8% 14.3% 21.3% 20.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.