Race 1B

central-series-2-bu

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Penwell 11.9% 13.0% 15.9% 17.4% 15.6% 11.3% 7.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Pierce Conlin 2.5% 3.4% 4.9% 6.3% 7.4% 11.3% 11.5% 16.9% 14.3% 11.8% 6.9% 2.8%
Ryan Morrison 19.5% 20.7% 19.5% 15.7% 12.2% 6.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson Chabot 3.6% 5.4% 6.2% 8.7% 11.7% 11.9% 15.5% 12.6% 11.9% 7.5% 4.6% 0.4%
Cali Warner 4.6% 7.5% 8.6% 11.4% 13.1% 13.9% 13.0% 11.8% 8.6% 5.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Nathan Allman 38.1% 25.1% 16.3% 11.0% 5.3% 2.4% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Victoria McGruer 11.4% 14.3% 14.5% 14.7% 13.8% 11.4% 10.1% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Minot Frye 3.3% 4.2% 6.2% 5.8% 8.6% 10.2% 13.1% 13.4% 15.1% 11.1% 7.0% 2.0%
Earl Lin 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.9% 1.9% 2.3% 3.5% 4.7% 10.6% 17.0% 56.6%
Zachary Foreman 1.9% 3.4% 3.2% 4.0% 4.9% 8.6% 9.1% 12.0% 15.9% 16.4% 15.2% 5.4%
Katlyn Flynn 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 3.9% 5.5% 6.6% 7.9% 12.6% 18.2% 22.5% 16.5%
Ted Gettinger 1.2% 1.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 4.8% 5.9% 10.2% 11.9% 17.4% 24.3% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.