Race 2B

central-series-2-bu

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Pierce Conlin 2.6% 3.6% 4.7% 7.0% 7.0% 8.6% 11.9% 15.7% 15.8% 11.5% 9.2% 2.4%
Patrick Penwell 11.3% 15.3% 16.1% 15.3% 15.3% 11.4% 8.0% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 37.9% 24.0% 18.9% 10.5% 5.4% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Foreman 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 3.9% 4.9% 8.6% 13.2% 10.6% 15.2% 18.2% 13.3% 5.7%
Ryan Morrison 20.6% 21.9% 17.7% 13.9% 10.9% 8.0% 3.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Victoria McGruer 10.1% 12.8% 13.8% 16.6% 15.9% 11.4% 8.1% 7.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Minot Frye 2.8% 4.8% 5.5% 6.1% 9.0% 10.6% 12.0% 13.4% 14.5% 12.3% 6.1% 2.9%
Jackson Chabot 4.8% 5.7% 6.2% 8.8% 12.2% 12.2% 14.2% 12.6% 11.1% 7.3% 3.8% 1.1%
Cali Warner 5.7% 5.4% 9.6% 11.5% 13.2% 16.9% 13.1% 10.4% 7.7% 4.6% 1.7% 0.2%
Ted Gettinger 1.0% 2.1% 1.7% 3.1% 3.0% 5.5% 5.6% 8.5% 14.0% 18.0% 23.3% 14.2%
Earl Lin 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 3.0% 3.7% 5.0% 7.9% 16.2% 59.8%
Katlyn Flynn 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 4.0% 6.2% 10.3% 11.8% 18.3% 25.9% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.