Race 3B

central-series-2-bu

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Penwell 12.9% 12.5% 18.8% 14.6% 14.2% 11.7% 7.9% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 35.4% 28.8% 16.7% 10.2% 5.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Morrison 20.1% 21.3% 19.8% 14.7% 11.3% 7.5% 3.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Minot Frye 2.6% 3.5% 4.8% 5.9% 8.8% 12.4% 12.5% 14.8% 13.2% 11.4% 8.1% 2.0%
Jackson Chabot 4.0% 5.4% 7.1% 8.9% 12.3% 11.7% 12.6% 14.2% 11.4% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3%
Victoria McGruer 11.1% 13.2% 13.9% 16.6% 12.6% 13.4% 9.5% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Zachary Foreman 2.4% 2.8% 2.6% 4.4% 5.6% 8.6% 10.1% 11.9% 15.3% 16.4% 14.3% 5.6%
Ted Gettinger 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 3.4% 3.8% 5.0% 6.3% 9.7% 11.3% 15.7% 23.5% 16.5%
Earl Lin 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 1.8% 2.1% 4.3% 5.5% 10.3% 16.0% 56.8%
Katlyn Flynn 1.0% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 5.0% 5.7% 9.5% 12.1% 18.8% 22.9% 14.2%
Pierce Conlin 3.0% 2.4% 3.5% 6.3% 8.5% 7.6% 13.6% 13.8% 15.4% 13.5% 9.0% 3.4%
Cali Warner 6.1% 6.1% 7.3% 11.2% 13.2% 13.2% 14.8% 11.4% 10.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.