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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.90+3.41vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.64+5.77vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.40+2.75vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.46+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.28+1.24vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.07+3.65vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73-2.38vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.33-2.07vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.11-2.33vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.40-1.23vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-5.48vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.37-3.21vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.48-0.47vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.62-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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7.77Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.75Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.63Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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9.65Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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4.62Eckerd College2.730.2%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.67Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.77Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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5.52George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.79William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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12.53North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.71Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Wright | 16.2% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Austin | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ben Buhl | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 13.0% | 4.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 33.2% | 41.9% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 27.8% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.