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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.73+3.81vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.28+3.96vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.33+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+0.46vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.46+0.79vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.40-0.12vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51-1.78vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-0.10vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.07+0.66vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.40-1.18vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.37-2.21vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.48+0.62vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.62-0.37vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.11-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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5.99Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.46University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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5.79Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.88Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.22George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.9Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.66Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.82Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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8.79William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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12.62North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.63Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.48Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solvig Sayre | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Merritt Moran | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 14.9% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Austin | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 22.1% | 12.8% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Bill Parker | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 7.9% | 1.6% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 10.6% | 31.0% | 44.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 28.8% | 47.3% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.