Race 5B

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sebastian Green 56.0% 26.9% 9.8% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sadie Creemer 5.8% 9.8% 11.6% 13.1% 13.1% 14.1% 12.4% 8.9% 8.3% 2.8%
Ryan Tuttle 2.9% 4.8% 6.7% 9.3% 10.9% 10.8% 13.2% 14.8% 15.3% 11.3%
Sofia Brown Patrico 11.4% 20.2% 21.3% 15.0% 13.0% 10.2% 5.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Chris Connor 3.0% 4.0% 6.4% 8.4% 8.5% 10.3% 10.9% 16.2% 17.6% 14.5%
Aaron Heard 5.0% 10.0% 11.3% 11.6% 12.7% 13.0% 13.1% 10.7% 8.8% 4.0%
Kate Furman 1.2% 1.7% 3.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.5% 7.3% 10.5% 16.3% 45.4%
Austin Victer 5.9% 9.1% 11.6% 14.6% 13.1% 12.7% 12.0% 11.3% 6.9% 2.9%
Spencer Patten 3.0% 4.6% 6.1% 6.1% 7.9% 10.1% 12.8% 14.4% 18.9% 16.0%
Hans Scheyer 5.8% 9.1% 12.2% 12.3% 14.8% 13.0% 12.6% 10.4% 7.1% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.