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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+5.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+5.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+5.00vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75+4.89vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.40+5.10vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.55+2.08vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.91+0.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.60+0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-1.20vs Predicted
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102.13+2.77vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.38-1.35vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.75-3.93vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-4.03vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.92-2.41vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-2.20vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.38-6.67vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.60-4.37vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.21-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Harvard University3.1810.9%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University2.427.3%1st Place
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8.89Georgetown University2.755.5%1st Place
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10.1Boston College2.404.0%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University2.556.6%1st Place
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7.22Brown University2.918.9%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Naval Academy2.607.1%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University2.687.8%1st Place
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12.772.132.5%1st Place
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9.65College of Charleston2.384.9%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College2.757.4%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.5%1st Place
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11.59Connecticut College1.923.0%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.552.0%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College2.384.9%1st Place
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12.63University of Pennsylvania1.602.2%1st Place
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12.78Tulane University2.212.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Dana Haig | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.