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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.46+4.55vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.28+3.94vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90+0.46vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.33+1.11vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.11+0.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.40-1.44vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.07+1.43vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.51-3.46vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.40-1.18vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.64-2.96vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.37-3.23vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.48-0.53vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.62-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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4.82Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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4.46University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.77Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.56Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.43Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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5.54George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.82Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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8.04Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.77William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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12.47North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.7Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Buhl | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Jassin | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 15.3% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Austin | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 4.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Chris Myers | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Bill Parker | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Paul Guntner | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 31.9% | 41.6% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 27.7% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.