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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.46+4.52vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.11+4.42vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.37+5.73vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.28+2.18vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.40+3.73vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.07+3.61vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90-2.73vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.51-2.50vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73-4.03vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.64-1.94vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.48+1.63vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.40-6.15vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.62-0.34vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.33-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.42Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.73William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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8.73Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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9.61Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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4.27University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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5.5George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.97Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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8.06Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.63North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.85Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.66Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.88Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Buhl | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Bill Parker | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 20.9% | 13.9% | 3.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chris Myers | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 32.6% | 43.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 28.4% | 48.8% |
| Merritt Moran | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.