Race 5A

maisa-saisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Solvig Sayre 13.8% 13.6% 13.9% 10.9% 10.0% 9.4% 8.5% 4.9% 5.8% 4.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 11.2% 11.3% 10.2% 10.2% 9.6% 10.0% 10.5% 9.8% 5.9% 5.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Merritt Moran 9.1% 9.9% 9.7% 8.3% 8.8% 10.2% 8.8% 9.6% 9.0% 7.0% 5.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Dominique Wright 14.9% 16.6% 12.3% 12.3% 10.7% 10.4% 7.5% 6.5% 4.1% 2.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Austin 8.0% 7.7% 10.6% 11.6% 10.1% 9.7% 9.5% 7.0% 9.6% 7.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Roy Ingham 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 4.2% 3.2% 4.1% 6.0% 8.3% 10.3% 15.8% 19.7% 14.0% 3.8%
Maria Sinagra 13.0% 11.8% 10.6% 9.5% 11.0% 9.0% 9.1% 9.9% 5.4% 4.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 7.9% 7.2% 8.9% 7.2% 9.3% 8.1% 8.7% 10.0% 8.8% 8.2% 7.5% 6.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Ben Jassin 8.6% 7.5% 8.4% 10.1% 8.7% 9.9% 10.6% 9.2% 9.0% 7.3% 6.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Chris Myers 3.8% 4.1% 4.7% 5.6% 6.3% 7.0% 7.9% 7.9% 10.8% 11.2% 12.5% 12.2% 4.7% 1.3%
Andrew Murphy 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 5.3% 5.4% 5.7% 6.5% 6.9% 9.5% 12.9% 14.3% 14.0% 8.1% 1.6%
Bill Parker 3.0% 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 5.7% 8.6% 9.8% 12.4% 13.3% 15.4% 7.6% 2.1%
Kris Rodriguez 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.0% 3.9% 8.1% 27.6% 49.6%
Paul Guntner 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.0% 3.4% 5.0% 10.2% 31.2% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.