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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.33+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.90+2.28vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.40+2.77vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.46+1.64vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.40+3.75vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.28+0.24vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.51-1.77vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11-1.39vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73-4.08vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.64-1.87vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.37-2.21vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.07-2.40vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.48-0.54vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.62-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.28University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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5.77Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.64Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.75Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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5.23George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.61Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.92Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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8.13Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.79William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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9.6Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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12.46North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.68Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merritt Moran | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Buhl | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Ben Jassin | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Bill Parker | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 13.0% | 4.4% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 31.5% | 41.3% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 27.3% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.