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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+8.42vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+4.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75+5.95vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.91+3.15vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.38+4.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+2.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.70vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75+0.13vs Predicted
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92.13+3.50vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.29vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.60+1.70vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.68-4.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-0.22vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.21-1.44vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.42-6.96vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.40-5.99vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.55-8.89vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.92-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42College of Charleston2.385.1%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University3.1811.3%1st Place
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8.95Georgetown University2.755.9%1st Place
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7.15Brown University2.918.2%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College2.384.2%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.3%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Naval Academy2.606.0%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College2.757.1%1st Place
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12.52.132.1%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.9%1st Place
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12.7University of Pennsylvania1.602.2%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University2.687.2%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.552.9%1st Place
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12.56Tulane University2.212.2%1st Place
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8.04Yale University2.428.6%1st Place
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10.01Boston College2.404.0%1st Place
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8.11Stanford University2.556.9%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College1.922.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 18.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.