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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.90+3.36vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.73+2.66vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.40+2.78vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.33+2.03vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.51+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.28+0.22vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.46-1.65vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-0.07vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.11-2.32vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.37-1.13vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.07-1.38vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.48+0.60vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University1.40-4.42vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.62-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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4.66Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.78Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.03Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.62George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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5.35Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.93Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.68Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.87William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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9.62Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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12.6North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.58Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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12.7Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Wright | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Merritt Moran | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Bill Parker | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 12.1% | 4.4% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 33.1% | 42.4% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 29.8% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.