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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.18+5.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.91+5.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+5.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.38+5.58vs Predicted
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52.13+7.68vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40+4.21vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+2.15vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.42-0.12vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-1.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.39vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-3.00vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.75-3.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-0.31vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.01vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.60-2.32vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.21-3.26vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-9.04vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.92-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Harvard University3.1810.8%1st Place
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7.3Brown University2.918.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.757.4%1st Place
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9.58College of Charleston2.384.5%1st Place
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12.682.132.2%1st Place
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10.21Boston College2.404.0%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.385.2%1st Place
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7.88Yale University2.427.8%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University2.687.6%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Naval Academy2.606.6%1st Place
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8.0Stanford University2.557.5%1st Place
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8.83Georgetown University2.755.2%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.552.4%1st Place
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.5%1st Place
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12.68University of Pennsylvania1.602.6%1st Place
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12.74Tulane University2.212.0%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.9%1st Place
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11.64Connecticut College1.922.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Dana Haig | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 17.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 17.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 17.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.