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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.40+4.73vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.51+3.27vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.11+3.62vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+4.01vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.33+1.10vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.73-1.03vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.46-1.60vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.37+0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.28-2.83vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.40-1.20vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.07-1.38vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.48+0.60vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.90-8.59vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.62-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.27George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.62Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.01Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.97Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.4Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.61William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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8.8Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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9.62Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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12.6North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.41University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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12.69Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Austin | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Chris Myers | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Merritt Moran | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Ben Jassin | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 21.3% | 12.4% | 4.4% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 32.8% | 42.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 28.5% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.