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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.28+5.10vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.51+3.29vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+1.84vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.46+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.90-0.49vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.33+0.07vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.07+2.35vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-0.06vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.11-2.28vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University1.40-1.20vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.37-2.20vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.48+0.63vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.62-0.35vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1University of Miami2.280.1%1st Place
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5.29George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.84Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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5.65Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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4.51University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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6.07Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.35Jacksonville University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.94Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.72Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.8Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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8.8William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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12.63North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.65Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.65Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Jassin | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Roy Ingham | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 12.4% | 2.7% |
| Chris Myers | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Bill Parker | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Paul Guntner | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 31.9% | 44.3% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 29.3% | 47.4% |
| Rachel Austin | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.