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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+7.02vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+6.81vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.60+5.34vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+5.89vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+2.88vs Predicted
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62.13+6.40vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.59+5.00vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+1.31vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.18-2.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.61vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.21+1.50vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+0.18vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.42-5.22vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.91-6.83vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.07-2.88vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.92-4.68vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.75-8.38vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.38-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Dartmouth College2.757.0%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.8%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy2.605.5%1st Place
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9.89Boston College2.404.9%1st Place
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7.88Stanford University2.557.1%1st Place
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12.42.132.6%1st Place
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12.0University of Pennsylvania1.592.8%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College2.385.7%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University3.1810.6%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.489.6%1st Place
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12.5Tulane University2.213.0%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.552.2%1st Place
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7.78Yale University2.426.8%1st Place
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7.17Brown University2.918.3%1st Place
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12.12Roger Williams University2.072.2%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College1.923.3%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University2.756.2%1st Place
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9.17College of Charleston2.386.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Dana Haig | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.8% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.7% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.