Race 10A

maisa-saisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Maria Sinagra 11.1% 11.4% 10.7% 9.8% 10.9% 9.5% 8.6% 8.2% 6.7% 6.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Chris Myers 3.7% 5.9% 5.3% 7.2% 6.7% 6.7% 6.6% 8.4% 9.7% 12.7% 12.0% 9.5% 4.4% 1.2%
Merritt Moran 9.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 9.9% 9.0% 9.0% 7.6% 5.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Rachel Austin 8.9% 9.8% 9.9% 10.3% 10.4% 9.0% 9.3% 8.1% 9.0% 7.3% 4.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Dominique Wright 14.0% 16.3% 14.3% 12.1% 10.2% 8.7% 8.5% 6.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Buhl 10.3% 9.4% 8.9% 10.3% 10.8% 10.1% 8.8% 8.5% 7.3% 6.8% 5.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Ben Jassin 9.5% 9.4% 10.3% 9.6% 8.9% 8.1% 10.9% 9.4% 8.2% 5.7% 5.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Roy Ingham 3.8% 2.3% 3.1% 3.2% 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 4.4% 8.2% 10.2% 13.7% 19.5% 13.8% 3.8%
Giuditta Di Laghi 7.3% 6.0% 7.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.4% 9.6% 11.5% 9.8% 8.6% 7.4% 5.1% 1.9% 0.1%
Bill Parker 3.3% 3.7% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 6.2% 6.9% 7.2% 8.2% 11.1% 15.2% 16.9% 7.5% 2.4%
Solvig Sayre 13.8% 11.8% 12.9% 11.2% 10.7% 9.5% 8.1% 7.2% 6.1% 3.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 3.3% 3.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 7.1% 5.1% 9.3% 9.5% 11.7% 12.5% 15.8% 7.5% 1.9%
Paul Guntner 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 3.9% 9.4% 33.0% 41.5%
Kris Rodriguez 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 1.9% 3.0% 4.1% 8.8% 27.9% 48.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.