Race 1A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Grant Adam 18.2% 19.0% 15.8% 13.9% 11.2% 7.8% 6.6% 4.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Blake Vogel 10.6% 10.7% 10.4% 11.8% 11.8% 11.6% 10.2% 8.3% 7.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Andy Leshaw 4.8% 5.3% 7.1% 6.7% 6.8% 8.7% 11.3% 10.9% 13.0% 11.4% 7.8% 5.0% 1.2%
Andrew White 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 7.6% 10.2% 14.1% 17.0% 18.4% 10.2%
Peter Schnell 7.7% 6.9% 7.3% 8.9% 8.8% 10.0% 10.7% 13.2% 11.1% 8.8% 4.0% 2.4% 0.4%
John Polek 12.0% 11.5% 13.4% 11.3% 13.0% 11.6% 10.3% 8.1% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 10.9% 11.6% 10.1% 12.9% 13.8% 11.2% 10.5% 8.0% 5.7% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 4.5% 4.4% 7.1% 8.0% 9.7% 13.0% 15.1% 15.0% 10.0% 4.0%
Kolby Seibert 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 3.9% 4.5% 7.2% 12.8% 19.2% 43.4%
Zachary Klusky 6.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.0% 10.6% 10.4% 8.0% 4.7% 2.0% 0.4%
Clark Morris 20.7% 17.0% 16.4% 13.0% 10.3% 8.7% 5.5% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kate Myler 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 3.7% 4.0% 5.8% 7.7% 11.3% 16.7% 21.6% 19.8%
Felix Nusbaum 1.8% 2.2% 1.7% 1.9% 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 5.1% 8.0% 11.8% 16.8% 20.1% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.