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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.24+6.07vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.83+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.31+0.56vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.54+1.49vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.38+5.20vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.28+2.34vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.22-3.29vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.70-5.23vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.06-2.30vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.43-1.71vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-0.35-0.95vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.48-1.76vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.49-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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3.94Old Dominion University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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4.56University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University1.540.0%1st Place
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11.2Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.34William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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4.71Christopher Newport University2.220.1%1st Place
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3.77Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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7.7Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.29Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.05Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.24North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.23Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Hitchcock | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Spracher | 16.7% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 22.7% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Higgins | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Martin | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 22.7% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Amy Craven | 12.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 17.7% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 20.1% |
| Cole Barclay | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 23.3% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 21.5% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.