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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.31+3.50vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.22+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.83+0.42vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70-0.27vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24+2.29vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.51-1.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.54-0.81vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.06-0.45vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-0.38+2.14vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.48+1.35vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.43-1.70vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-0.35-0.97vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.28-3.48vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.49-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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4.62Christopher Newport University2.220.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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3.73Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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7.29George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.16Old Dominion University2.510.2%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University1.540.1%1st Place
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7.55Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.14Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.35North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.3Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.03Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.52William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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11.2Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Yarbrough | 12.0% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Craven | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 22.0% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 18.1% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Spracher | 15.6% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Higgins | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Martin | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 25.3% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.9% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 21.0% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.