Race 2A

mass-maritime-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Clark Morris 19.8% 16.2% 16.2% 13.0% 11.3% 9.0% 7.0% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andy Leshaw 5.7% 5.1% 6.1% 6.2% 6.9% 9.2% 9.9% 11.8% 13.2% 11.4% 8.3% 4.1% 1.9%
Kolby Seibert 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 3.6% 7.4% 10.8% 19.4% 45.2%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.9% 3.5% 3.6% 4.2% 5.7% 5.5% 8.2% 10.6% 13.1% 14.4% 13.5% 10.8% 4.2%
Emil Tullberg 11.1% 12.0% 11.5% 11.2% 13.5% 11.6% 10.5% 7.3% 5.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Blake Vogel 9.4% 10.7% 9.4% 12.5% 11.1% 11.7% 9.8% 9.7% 7.6% 4.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
John Polek 12.8% 12.0% 13.4% 13.4% 10.8% 11.4% 9.6% 7.6% 4.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Peter Schnell 8.6% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 9.2% 8.8% 11.0% 12.0% 9.6% 8.5% 5.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Grant Adam 17.1% 17.6% 16.0% 13.5% 12.1% 9.2% 7.1% 3.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Klusky 7.0% 8.8% 8.2% 8.5% 8.8% 10.9% 11.8% 11.5% 11.3% 7.0% 4.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Felix Nusbaum 1.7% 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 6.5% 7.8% 12.4% 16.4% 21.6% 18.5%
Andrew White 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 4.8% 7.3% 10.3% 14.3% 17.9% 16.1% 10.8%
Kate Myler 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 3.6% 4.7% 7.9% 12.2% 16.4% 22.9% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.