Race 6B

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sebastian Green 56.0% 26.5% 10.8% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sadie Creemer 5.3% 9.4% 13.0% 13.1% 13.5% 13.4% 12.3% 10.1% 7.0% 2.9%
Sofia Brown Patrico 12.7% 20.3% 19.1% 17.9% 13.0% 8.0% 4.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Ryan Tuttle 3.0% 5.6% 6.7% 8.2% 9.2% 10.1% 14.3% 14.3% 15.4% 13.2%
Austin Victer 5.9% 9.8% 11.1% 13.8% 12.6% 13.2% 11.8% 11.0% 6.6% 4.3%
Aaron Heard 4.8% 8.4% 11.3% 12.7% 13.6% 14.5% 11.9% 11.2% 8.2% 3.5%
Chris Connor 2.5% 4.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.8% 9.7% 13.1% 14.6% 18.1% 16.0%
Spencer Patten 3.0% 3.9% 6.0% 7.4% 9.8% 9.9% 12.4% 14.4% 18.9% 14.1%
Hans Scheyer 5.2% 9.1% 12.4% 10.9% 15.0% 14.5% 12.2% 10.9% 6.8% 2.9%
Kate Furman 1.5% 1.9% 3.2% 4.6% 4.0% 6.5% 7.2% 10.2% 17.8% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.