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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.51+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.31+2.43vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.24+4.08vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.06+3.58vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-0.38+6.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.54+0.49vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.22-2.45vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.70-4.26vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.28+0.62vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-0.70vs Predicted
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11Hampton University-0.35+0.09vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.48-0.69vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.49-1.78vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.83-10.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Old Dominion University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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7.08George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.58Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.14Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University1.540.0%1st Place
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4.55Christopher Newport University2.220.1%1st Place
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3.74Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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9.62William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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9.3Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.09Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.31North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.22Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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3.39University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Spracher | 15.3% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Martin | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 21.4% |
| Madeline Higgins | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amy Craven | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 18.6% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 19.0% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 24.6% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 23.8% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 22.8% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.