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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.46+5.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+5.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+0.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51-0.38vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.09-0.26vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.90+4.02vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46-1.94vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.66+1.46vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.45-2.86vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.80-4.63vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+0.19vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-2.01vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.36-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Olin College of Engineering0.468.1%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.0%1st Place
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3.79Brown University1.3418.6%1st Place
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3.62Tufts University1.5118.9%1st Place
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4.74College of Charleston1.0911.7%1st Place
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10.02Williams College-0.901.5%1st Place
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5.06Salve Regina University0.4610.5%1st Place
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9.46Fairfield University-0.662.0%1st Place
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6.14Northeastern University0.458.2%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University0.809.6%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.690.9%1st Place
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9.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.7%1st Place
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8.36McGill University-0.363.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Schnell | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Grant Adam | 18.6% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 18.9% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 19.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.5% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew White | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 10.5% |
| Zachary Klusky | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 19.8% | 44.5% |
| Kate Myler | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 17.9% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.