Race 4A

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Clark Morris 20.1% 18.0% 15.6% 14.0% 11.9% 7.6% 6.2% 3.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Mikhail Lavrenov 3.5% 2.8% 4.3% 4.9% 5.8% 6.3% 7.0% 9.7% 12.6% 15.2% 12.8% 10.0% 5.1%
Blake Vogel 10.0% 10.9% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2% 13.2% 11.1% 8.9% 6.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Andy Leshaw 5.0% 5.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.5% 9.0% 10.0% 11.1% 12.4% 12.8% 8.2% 4.4% 1.7%
Grant Adam 19.4% 18.9% 14.8% 13.7% 10.9% 8.2% 6.5% 4.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew White 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 5.0% 5.4% 6.8% 8.8% 13.9% 17.7% 18.7% 11.9%
Pearl Lattanzi 9.2% 8.9% 10.2% 10.9% 11.5% 10.8% 11.4% 9.1% 7.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1%
John Polek 12.8% 12.2% 14.6% 11.7% 13.2% 10.2% 8.8% 7.5% 4.9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Schnell 6.9% 8.4% 8.0% 9.6% 8.5% 10.7% 11.7% 11.8% 9.7% 7.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Zachary Klusky 7.6% 7.7% 8.3% 9.2% 10.5% 10.2% 10.8% 10.4% 11.1% 6.6% 4.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Kolby Seibert 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 3.9% 6.0% 8.1% 11.9% 18.2% 41.2%
Felix Nusbaum 1.8% 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 3.4% 4.2% 6.3% 7.8% 9.9% 17.1% 21.4% 19.3%
Kate Myler 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 3.2% 4.5% 6.5% 8.7% 11.1% 16.0% 21.1% 19.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.