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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.51+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.31+2.43vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.22+1.69vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.54+2.38vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.24+2.26vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-2.47vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.70-3.42vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.06-0.46vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-0.38+2.14vs Predicted
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10Hampton University-0.35+1.08vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.43-1.71vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.28-2.43vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.49-1.76vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.48-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Old Dominion University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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4.69Christopher Newport University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University1.540.0%1st Place
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7.26George Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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3.58Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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7.54Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.14Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.08Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.29Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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9.57William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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11.24Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.18North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Spracher | 15.8% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amy Craven | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Higgins | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 20.9% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 19.7% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Martin | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 20.8% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 20.9% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 24.0% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.