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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.31+3.80vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+2.31vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.22+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.83-0.19vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.54+1.84vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67-1.88vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.70-3.13vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.06-0.16vs Predicted
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9Hampton University-0.35+2.19vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.38+1.26vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.43-1.50vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.28-2.22vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.48-1.68vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.49-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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4.31Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.04Christopher Newport University2.220.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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6.84Georgetown University1.540.0%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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3.87Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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7.84Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.19Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.26Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.5Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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9.78William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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11.32North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.3Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Yarbrough | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Craven | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 17.7% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Higgins | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 16.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 19.7% |
| Matthew Martin | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 22.5% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Cole Barclay | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 23.9% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.