← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+6.14vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.51+1.69vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.34+0.78vs Predicted
-
4McGill University-0.36+4.37vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University0.80+0.34vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.83-0.40vs Predicted
-
7Fairfield University-0.66+2.79vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+2.39vs Predicted
-
9Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.69vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.69+1.68vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston1.09-6.32vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University0.45-5.76vs Predicted
-
13Wesleyan University-1.83-1.24vs Predicted
-
14Williams College-0.90-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.9%1st Place
-
3.69Tufts University1.5119.9%1st Place
-
3.78Brown University1.3420.5%1st Place
-
8.37McGill University-0.363.2%1st Place
-
5.34Tufts University0.809.4%1st Place
-
5.6Salve Regina University0.838.8%1st Place
-
9.79Fairfield University-0.662.0%1st Place
-
10.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.2%1st Place
-
6.31Olin College of Engineering0.466.2%1st Place
-
11.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.690.5%1st Place
-
4.68College of Charleston1.0912.6%1st Place
-
6.24Northeastern University0.457.4%1st Place
-
11.76Wesleyan University-1.830.8%1st Place
-
10.24Williams College-0.901.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Clark Morris | 19.9% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 20.5% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew White | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 7.6% |
| Kate Myler | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 12.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kolby Seibert | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 20.8% | 31.8% |
| John Polek | 12.6% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Klusky | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 21.8% | 33.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.