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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.31+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.83+1.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+1.36vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.700.00vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.06+2.97vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.54+0.81vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-0.38+4.06vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.22-2.96vs Predicted
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9Hampton University-0.35+2.22vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.28-0.11vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-6.89vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.48-0.57vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.43-3.62vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.49-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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4.36Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.0Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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7.97Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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6.81Georgetown University1.540.1%1st Place
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11.06Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.04Christopher Newport University2.220.1%1st Place
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11.22Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.89William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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11.43North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.38Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.32Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Yarbrough | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 19.0% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 14.1% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 15.1% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Madeline Higgins | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Martin | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 21.0% |
| Amy Craven | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 25.1% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.