← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+5.37vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.97+2.45vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University-0.82+4.99vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.96-0.45vs Predicted
-
5McGill University0.52-0.31vs Predicted
-
6Brown University0.33-0.84vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island0.81-3.03vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University-0.17-1.62vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University-0.45-1.99vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.00+0.52vs Predicted
-
11Williams College-1.45-1.48vs Predicted
-
12Olin College of Engineering-1.98-1.46vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.16-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.096.0%1st Place
-
4.45Salve Regina University0.9712.9%1st Place
-
7.99Fairfield University-0.823.4%1st Place
-
3.55Tufts University0.9620.0%1st Place
-
4.69McGill University0.5213.1%1st Place
-
5.16Brown University0.3310.1%1st Place
-
3.97University of Rhode Island0.8118.4%1st Place
-
6.38Northeastern University-0.176.7%1st Place
-
7.01Tufts University-0.454.9%1st Place
-
10.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.001.5%1st Place
-
9.52Williams College-1.451.6%1st Place
-
10.54Olin College of Engineering-1.980.9%1st Place
-
10.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.160.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Van Zanten | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Marina Garrido | 20.0% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Heldman | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Parker Brown | 18.4% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Chiampo | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Robert Houde | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 23.1% | 26.2% |
| Nick Harrington | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 10.6% |
| Owen Himsworth | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 25.7% |
| Inbar Artzi | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 23.3% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.