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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.22+4.03vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.83+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.31+0.92vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.54+1.82vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67-1.89vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.43+2.19vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.70-4.01vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.06-1.07vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.38+1.30vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.28-1.14vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.48-0.57vs Predicted
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13Hampton University-0.35-1.93vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.49-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Christopher Newport University2.220.1%1st Place
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4.28Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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4.92University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University1.540.0%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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9.19Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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3.99Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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7.93Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.3Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.86William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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11.43North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.07Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.36Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Craven | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 19.2% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Higgins | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 16.7% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Timothy Siemers | 17.4% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Martin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 18.4% | 22.6% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 24.8% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 18.9% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.