Race 2B

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Parker Brown 15.6% 17.1% 14.9% 14.5% 11.8% 8.9% 7.2% 4.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Cunniff 3.5% 4.5% 4.0% 5.1% 6.1% 6.9% 8.9% 10.4% 12.8% 15.2% 12.2% 7.8% 2.6%
John Van Zanten 6.3% 6.4% 8.4% 8.1% 8.6% 11.3% 11.3% 12.7% 11.0% 9.0% 4.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Olivia Lowthian 13.7% 13.8% 14.1% 11.3% 12.5% 12.2% 9.2% 5.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 21.1% 17.0% 16.8% 13.6% 12.0% 7.7% 5.9% 3.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sylvia Burns 6.2% 7.2% 8.9% 9.2% 8.8% 11.1% 10.5% 11.9% 10.8% 8.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4%
Sophie Heldman 11.9% 13.5% 12.4% 13.2% 12.7% 10.5% 9.6% 7.0% 5.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Keller Morrison 11.3% 10.1% 10.1% 11.6% 11.8% 11.3% 13.0% 9.3% 5.8% 3.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Stefano Chiampo 5.3% 5.7% 4.7% 6.2% 6.9% 9.2% 9.6% 13.9% 14.5% 12.6% 6.6% 4.2% 0.8%
Nick Harrington 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 5.3% 8.0% 11.5% 14.6% 18.9% 15.8% 10.3%
Inbar Artzi 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.9% 5.9% 8.4% 14.3% 24.1% 33.3%
Robert Houde 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 3.4% 4.3% 6.2% 10.9% 16.6% 23.2% 26.2%
Owen Himsworth 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 4.5% 6.7% 10.3% 18.2% 20.6% 25.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.