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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.31+3.80vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.51+2.28vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.22+2.02vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+0.08vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.06+2.99vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.83-2.19vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.43+2.20vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.70-3.96vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-0.38+2.28vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.54-3.22vs Predicted
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11Hampton University-0.35+0.24vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.48-0.55vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.28-3.28vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.49-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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4.28Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.02Christopher Newport University2.220.1%1st Place
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4.08George Washington University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.99Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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3.81University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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9.2Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.04Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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11.28Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.78Georgetown University1.540.0%1st Place
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11.24Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.45North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.72William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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11.32Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Yarbrough | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Craven | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 16.0% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 19.0% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 17.1% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Martin | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 21.6% |
| Madeline Higgins | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 19.7% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 24.7% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.