Race 3B

mass-maritime-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marina Garrido 21.8% 19.1% 14.4% 13.5% 11.7% 7.4% 5.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 13.9% 14.4% 13.4% 12.8% 11.0% 10.8% 8.9% 7.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Parker Brown 16.3% 16.5% 14.9% 13.5% 12.1% 10.3% 7.2% 5.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sophie Heldman 12.4% 13.0% 12.8% 11.8% 12.2% 11.0% 10.4% 7.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Keller Morrison 9.7% 9.7% 12.2% 12.9% 11.1% 11.9% 10.1% 8.2% 7.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Stefano Chiampo 4.2% 5.7% 6.5% 6.2% 8.2% 8.1% 10.4% 12.2% 14.0% 12.5% 7.0% 4.1% 0.9%
John Van Zanten 6.4% 6.6% 7.4% 9.2% 9.0% 10.1% 12.0% 11.7% 12.7% 8.6% 4.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Nick Harrington 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 2.5% 4.0% 4.3% 6.0% 6.6% 9.7% 14.9% 17.4% 18.4% 9.9%
Michael Cunniff 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 6.2% 8.0% 8.2% 11.0% 13.4% 15.7% 12.1% 8.2% 2.5%
Sylvia Burns 7.1% 6.0% 8.1% 9.0% 9.2% 10.6% 10.8% 12.4% 11.1% 9.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Robert Houde 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 4.9% 6.2% 9.7% 15.7% 23.4% 27.4%
Owen Himsworth 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 3.1% 4.7% 7.0% 9.8% 18.6% 21.3% 24.8%
Inbar Artzi 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 3.6% 4.2% 6.0% 8.9% 15.7% 20.1% 33.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.