← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University0.97+3.53vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University-0.17+4.17vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.96+0.61vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+2.39vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island0.81-1.05vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University-0.45+1.09vs Predicted
-
7Brown University0.33-1.84vs Predicted
-
8McGill University0.52-3.30vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University-0.82-1.04vs Predicted
-
10Williams College-1.45-0.46vs Predicted
-
11Olin College of Engineering-1.98-0.51vs Predicted
-
12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.16-1.16vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.97-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.53Salve Regina University0.9713.8%1st Place
-
6.17Northeastern University-0.176.7%1st Place
-
3.61Tufts University0.9620.2%1st Place
-
6.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.095.9%1st Place
-
3.95University of Rhode Island0.8118.3%1st Place
-
7.09Tufts University-0.454.6%1st Place
-
5.16Brown University0.3310.8%1st Place
-
4.7McGill University0.5212.6%1st Place
-
7.96Fairfield University-0.822.3%1st Place
-
9.54Williams College-1.452.0%1st Place
-
10.49Olin College of Engineering-1.980.8%1st Place
-
10.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.160.8%1st Place
-
10.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.971.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 20.2% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Parker Brown | 18.3% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Chiampo | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Heldman | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cunniff | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Nick Harrington | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 11.9% |
| Owen Himsworth | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 22.6% | 24.2% |
| Inbar Artzi | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 22.6% | 31.7% |
| Olyn Jacobson | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 22.6% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.