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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.31+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.83+1.02vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.51+0.66vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70-0.66vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.56+3.46vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.54-0.10vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-0.38+3.51vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.43+0.62vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.24-2.40vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.28-0.84vs Predicted
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11Hampton University-0.35-0.29vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.22-2.77vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.48-2.11vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-0.49-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of South Florida2.310.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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3.66Old Dominion University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.34Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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8.46Christopher Newport University0.560.0%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University1.540.1%1st Place
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10.51Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.62Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.6George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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9.16William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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10.71Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.23Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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10.89North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.88Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Yarbrough | 13.7% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 24.4% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 18.7% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 20.4% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Madeline Higgins | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Martin | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 18.9% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 18.6% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Cole Barclay | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 21.6% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.