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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.51+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.31+1.94vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.56+5.26vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.83-1.81vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.22+3.35vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.28+1.83vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.24-1.45vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.54-3.10vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-1.25vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.49+0.02vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.48-1.01vs Predicted
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13Hampton University-0.35-2.44vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-0.38-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Old Dominion University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.94University of South Florida2.310.2%1st Place
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8.26Christopher Newport University0.560.0%1st Place
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3.38Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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3.19University of Miami2.830.2%1st Place
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9.35Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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8.83William and Mary0.280.0%1st Place
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6.55George Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University1.540.1%1st Place
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8.75Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.02Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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10.99North Carolina State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.56Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.64Jacksonville University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Spracher | 16.7% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 16.1% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bluefeld | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 20.4% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 21.9% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Cynthia Ciccotelli | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Alex Hitchcock | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Higgins | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 22.8% |
| Cole Barclay | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 22.7% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 17.7% |
| Matthew Martin | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.