Race 1A

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jedidiah Bechtel 14.8% 14.1% 15.3% 14.0% 12.3% 12.2% 7.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Jack Welburn 33.4% 23.6% 17.2% 11.2% 7.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 7.3% 8.8% 10.9% 11.2% 12.4% 12.7% 11.2% 10.3% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.7%
Iain Shand 4.9% 6.3% 7.5% 8.6% 10.0% 10.4% 11.2% 13.0% 11.1% 8.5% 6.0% 2.5%
Jonathan Weed 17.5% 17.5% 15.4% 16.2% 12.9% 8.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Jonathan Kelly 2.5% 3.3% 3.0% 4.2% 5.8% 5.5% 8.7% 11.2% 13.5% 14.5% 16.1% 11.7%
Pearce Bragaw 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 3.0% 2.7% 4.3% 5.6% 7.1% 9.2% 13.2% 21.6% 28.3%
Asher Green 7.6% 8.6% 9.8% 11.5% 13.5% 12.4% 12.8% 8.9% 6.6% 5.0% 2.8% 0.6%
Can Dilikoglu 5.1% 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 9.2% 11.7% 13.4% 11.3% 10.8% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6%
Bryan Lawrence 2.4% 3.7% 5.0% 4.6% 5.5% 7.8% 8.9% 11.7% 13.9% 15.6% 12.4% 8.5%
Luke Plecinoga 1.2% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 5.0% 6.7% 10.0% 12.9% 18.2% 31.6%
Patrick Cashin 1.7% 2.8% 3.8% 3.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.4% 10.5% 11.6% 16.1% 16.3% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.