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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+2.81vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.71vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+4.08vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+3.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.90+4.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.51vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78-0.94vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38+3.42vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16-0.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy1.22+4.98vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.52-4.00vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-4.64vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+3.26vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.74-0.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.98vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.23+1.26vs Predicted
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17Villanova University1.59-3.08vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-7.96vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.74-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.08Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.61Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.06Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.42George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
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14.98U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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16.26Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
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13.68Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.1%1st Place
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17.26Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.92Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.53Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 21.8% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 10.6% |
| Willem Sandberg | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 24.3% | 27.7% |
| Colin Keil | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 18.8% | 50.1% |
| Domenic Re | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 5.3% |
| Michael Russom | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.