← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.68vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.68+8.16vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.52+4.02vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.38+7.32vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.89vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College3.52+0.92vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.74+6.52vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.16+0.56vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University3.36-1.61vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.90-0.79vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.49-3.96vs Predicted
-
12Yale University4.55-8.03vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Military Academy1.22+1.93vs Predicted
-
14Villanova University1.59+0.16vs Predicted
-
15Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+1.29vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.74-6.16vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College3.78-11.01vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-8.98vs Predicted
-
19Columbia University0.23-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
10.16University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
-
7.02Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
11.32George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
-
9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.92Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
13.52Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.56Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.39Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
9.21U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.04Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
3.97Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
14.93U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
14.16Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
-
16.29Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.0%1st Place
-
9.84Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
5.99Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
9.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
-
17.09Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Connors | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 21.4% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 12.5% |
| Domenic Re | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 7.1% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 24.9% | 29.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 21.3% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.