Race 7B

duckling

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sadie Creemer 6.8% 9.7% 11.8% 12.6% 13.3% 14.0% 11.8% 9.7% 7.0% 3.5%
JP Murphy 44.2% 28.0% 15.3% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sofia Brown Patrico 16.4% 17.0% 20.3% 16.4% 12.2% 8.3% 5.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Ryan Tuttle 4.0% 4.8% 6.2% 8.6% 10.9% 9.7% 12.3% 16.7% 14.6% 12.3%
Chris Connor 3.0% 5.2% 5.5% 7.0% 6.8% 11.3% 13.2% 14.2% 18.8% 15.0%
Austin Victer 7.3% 9.6% 11.8% 13.2% 13.1% 14.0% 11.8% 10.3% 6.6% 2.1%
Spencer Patten 2.8% 4.3% 5.1% 6.7% 9.2% 11.6% 11.8% 14.1% 19.6% 14.7%
Aaron Heard 6.9% 9.2% 10.8% 11.7% 13.1% 12.2% 13.0% 11.2% 8.0% 4.0%
Hans Scheyer 6.9% 10.3% 11.2% 12.9% 13.5% 12.8% 12.8% 9.7% 7.2% 2.9%
Kate Furman 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 7.2% 11.2% 17.5% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.